BAEconomics finds that government regulation of iron ore exports would reduce Australia’s export earnings and state government iron ore royalties.

The working paper can be found at the following link:

http://www.baeconomics.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/Iron-Ore-Spatial-Equilibrium-Model-8Aug15.pdf

Additional information can be found in the following article from the Australian Financial Review:

http://www.afr.com/business/mining/iron-ore/brazil-the-winner-from-the-forrest-way-20150810-givt3m